Change is constant. Clear thinking about change is rare.
The Logic of Change is a first-principles framework for understanding what changed before deciding what it means — or what to do next.
We usually respond to change too late in the thinking process.
When markets move, technologies arrive, organisations shift or circumstances change, attention naturally goes to the most visible problem. But the visible problem is often a consequence of the change rather than the change itself.
The Canon starts earlier. Before asking what to do, ask what actually changed.
Change information first. Purpose second.
The method separates mapping the change from deciding what the change means or how to respond.
Universal Change Framework
Map the change itself.
Establish what changed, how it moved, what drove it, and what else it affected — before interpretation begins.
Purpose-Centric Impact Framework
Use the completed map.
Examine the same underlying change for a declared purpose: prediction, explanation, interpretation, mitigation, adaptation or innovation.
One map. Six purposes.
Different questions require different lenses. The framework keeps them separate so one purpose does not quietly distort another.
What is likely to happen next?
Why did this happen?
What does this mean?
How can harm be reduced?
How can we adjust?
What new possibilities does this create?
A practical way to think when the ground is moving.
Separate the change from its most visible consequences.
Map timing, causes, connections and propagation.
Separate observation from interpretation and purpose.
Use the same grounded map for the purpose the situation actually requires.
Start reading before you decide.
Download the 21-page sample of The Logic of Change, including the Preface, Introduction and Chapters 1–2.
Understand change. See clearly. Decide better.
The Logic of Change: Making Better Decisions from First Principles
